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Segmentation applied to weather-disease relationships in South American leaf blight of the rubber tree

Guyot J., Condina V., Doare F., Cilas C., Sache I.. 2010. European Journal of Plant Pathology, 126 (3) : p. 349-362.

South American leaf blight (SALB) is a severe threat to world rubber production. One way of controlling it is to set up plantations in zones not conducive to the disease. Such zones are known once a plantation has been set up, but few data are available on how climate affects the disease, especially in the Amazon region. With better knowledge of conditions that are favourable to SALB epidemics it would be possible to more accurately identify risk zones in Asia and Africa, continents that are still SALB-free. Based on a trial design involving detailed and frequent observations, and with a method rarely used in plant epidemiology, the segmentation method, the results presented in this article make it possible to list, in order of importance, climatic factors that influence disease severity under conditions where the climate varies little over the year. (Résumé d'auteur)

Mots-clés : méthode statistique; conditions météorologiques; Épidémiologie; facteur climatique; microcyclus ulei; hevea brasiliensis; amérique du sud; guyane française

Thématique : Maladies des plantes; Météorologie et climatologie; Méthodes mathématiques et statistiques

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