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Cirad

Agrimonde: A platform for facilitating collective scenario-building

Treyer S., Paillard S., Dorin B.. 2014. In : Paillard Sandrine (ed.), Treyer Sébastien (ed.), Dorin Bruno (ed.). Agrimonde. Scénarios and challenges for feeding the world in 2050. Dordrecht : Springer [Pays-Bas], p. 1-8.

Between 2006 and 2008, the Agrimonde Expert Panel focused on building two scenarios. In the first, Agrimonde 1, we imagined a food and agricultural system designed to be sustainable by 2050. The aim was to explore the conditions required for achievement, the dilemmas and the main challenges that such a scenario entails. Agrimonde GO, the second scenario, is more trend-based. It consists of an application of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) Global Orchestration scenario (MA, Millennium ecosystem assessment, 2005b) into a food and agriculture scenario, whereas the MA built this scenario as a description of one of the possible futures of ecosystem management

Mots-clés : prospection; sécurité alimentaire; technique de prévision; alimentation; agriculture; politique alimentaire; monde

Thématique : Economie et politique agricoles; Economie et politique du développement; Agriculture - Considérations générales

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