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Climate change in the Senegal River valley and implications for rice cropping systems

Balde A.B., Muller B., Van Oort P.A.J., Ndiaye O., Stuerz S., Sow A., Diack B.S., Dingkuhn M.. 2013. In : La science rizicole pour la sécurité alimentaire à travers le renforcement de l'agriculture familiale et l'agro-industrie en Afrique : 3ème Congrès du riz en Afrique 2013, 21-24 octobre 2013, Yaoundé, Cameroun. Programme et résumés. Cotonou : ADRAO [Centre du Riz pour l'Afrique], p. 39-39. Africa Rice Congress. 3, 2013-10-21/2013-10-24, Yaoundé (Cameroun).

For some years it has been observed that many rice farmers in the Senegal River valley (SRV) no longer respect the recommendations of sowing periods established by AfricaRice in the early 1990s to reduce the risks due to extreme cold and hot temperatures. Moreover, some farmers seem to get very good yields sowing out of the recommended sowing windows. A collaborative AfricaRice-SAED-CIRAD study started in 2012 within both Agence National de la Recherche (ANR) Changement Environnementaux et Socio en Afrique: Passe, Présent et Future (ESCAPE) and Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS, CGIAR Research Program) projects aimed at analyzing this reality and understanding the main determinants of the shift in farmers' practices. The questions addressed included: (a) the current cropping practices and their constraints, and their possible evolution; (b) the perception of climate and its possible evolution by farmers; (c) analysis of the climate of last 30 years; (d) analysis of the consequences of climate evolution on rice development and rice cropping systems; and (e) update of the recommended sowing periods according to different rice varieties in order to minimize climate risks in the valley. The analysis of cropping practices and perceptions of climate by farmers started with 11 focus groups held throughout the SRV. The focus group was followed by individual surveys to get quantified information. An analysis of historical temperature was also started, along with modeling work (using RIDEV, Samara or Oryza) in order to assess the consequences of the climate on rice development in the SRV and to update knowledge of climate risks for different sowing dates for different rice varieties. Additional studies were also launched to verify eventual genetic drift of main cropped variety and to get data on rice behavior and phenology in farmers' fields. The main results achieved so far are presented. Focus groups indicated that farmers are very aware about climate and
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