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Halving mineral nitrogen use in European agriculture: Insights from multi-scale land-use models

Lungarska A., Brunelle T., Chakir R., Jayet P.A., Prudhomme R., De Cara S., Bureau J.C.. 2023. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 45 (3) : p. 1529-1550.

DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13391

This paper explores the effects of a public policy that reduces by 50% the use of mineral nitrogen in European agriculture. Our results show that, for the European Union, halving mineral fertilizer use leads to: a decrease in agricultural production, a substantial increase in nitrogen use efficiency, lower use of organic fertilizer and a loss of agricultural competitiveness. At the global level, it leads to greater nitrogen consumption if no measure is taken on the demand side. Ultimately, our research highlights the critical importance of supply side adjustments, particularly in terms of cropland area expansion.

Mots-clés : politique agricole; utilisation des terres; engrais azoté; rendement des cultures; productivité agricole; productivité des terres; pays de l'union européenne; politique publique

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